Weather
Was it just colder? is the question to dispose of before crediting an energy or price movement to anything else. This page answers it with daily reanalysis weather for the capital of every country in Eurostat's electricity price series, turned into heating degree days.
Capitals in the archive
Complete calendar years
Country-years compared
Of price movement explained by weather
A colder year does not explain electricity prices
A shapeless cloud: over 630 country-years the correlation is 0.01 and no single year shows a meaningful relationship either. Household tariffs move on tax, network cost and gas exposure, not on the winter. Prices →
It does explain much of the swing in emissions
Outside the pandemic years, the winter alone accounts for 27% of the year-to-year swing in what these countries emit. An emissions cut reported after a mild winter may be the weather. Emissions →
Every winter is milder than it used to be
The red gathers on the right in nearly every row. Fitted across 19 complete years, these capitals warm by 0.7 °C a decade, and heating demand falls with them. The archive →
One grid cell per country, at its capital. Fine for a country against its own history, which is how every chart here reads; not a ranking of national climate. Method and limits →